Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Fernando, Linus

 

 

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

2017-06-29

2017-06-30


Picture

1. Impact


2. Description of the event

3. Predictability

   




3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

The plots below show 24-hour precipitation valid 29 June 06z to 30 June 06z from HRES forecasts with different initial times.


3.3 ENS



The plot below shows the forecast evolution for 48-hour precipitation in Berlin valid 29-30 June.



3.4 Monthly forecasts


3.5 Comparison with other centres

The plots below show 24-hour precipitation in the first 12 ensemble members from forecasts initialised 29 June 06z from ECMWF (left), DMI (middle) and DWD (right).




4. Experience from general performance/other cases

 

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event


6. Additional material