Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Ivan, Linus

 

 

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

2017-04-14

2017-04-17

2017-04-18

2017-04-19

2017-04-20


Picture

1. Impact


2. Description of the event

3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES


3.3 ENS


The plot below shows the evolution of forecasts for average 2-metre temperature over Germany 17-20 April. The ensemble converged on 14 April to the cold conditions.


3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show the weekly 2-metre temperature anomaly for 17-23 April.




3.5 Comparison with other centres


4. Experience from general performance/other cases

 

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event


6. Additional material