Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Ivan. Linus

Discussed in the following Daily reports: http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/09/30/sc/

Picture

1. Impact

Heavy convective showers affected the area around the French city of Montpellier where around 200 mm of rain were reported causing flash floods in the region.

2. Description of the event

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

EFI for precipitation valid the 29 September.

3.4 Monthly forecasts

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material