Status:Ongoing analysis Material from:


 

Discussed in the following Daily reports:


 

 

1. Impact

 

2. Description of the event

3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

 

3.3 ENS

The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for TC Belal for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 14 January  00UTC (first plot) to 8 January 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 15 January 00UTC (hourglass for BestTrack). HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black).

 

3.4 Monthly forecasts

 

3.5 Comparison with other centres

 

4. Experience from general performance/other cases


5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

 

6. Additional material