View Source

Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

1. Impact

2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of z500 and T850 from 19 August to 25 August 00UTC, every 24 hour.

Forecast User > 202308 - Heatwave - South-Western Europe > an_t-850_z-500_2023081900_0.ps.gif

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI and SOT for 3-day 2-metre temperature on 22-24 August. Geneva is marked with an hourglass.

Forecast User > 202308 - Heatwave - South-Western Europe > vd_efi-t2m_2023082200_0-72.ps.gif

3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show 2-metre temperature anomalies for 17-24 July from different initial times with 7 days apart.

Forecast User > 202308 - Heatwave - South-Western Europe > ano_2T_20230821_0-168.ps.gif

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material