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The Radar-based Flash Flood Products available on EFAS-IS have been developed by the TAMIR and EDERA projects. 

TAMIR

Advanced Tools for pro-Active Management of Impacts and Risks Induced by Convective Weather, Heavy Rain and Flash floods in Europe (TAMIR)

The TAMIR project (project ID: 874435) was a European Commission Civil Protection Preparedness project that ran from February 2020 to September 2022, it aimed to develop forecast products which could inform about the potential impacts resulting from flash flood hazards. The project was led by FMI (Finnish Meteorological Institute) and involved partners from UPC (Technical University of Catalonia), ECMWF and KYMPE (Kymenlaakson rescue). The project was a continuation of previous European Commission funded projects: HAREN, EDHIT, ERICHA and SMUFF.

The TAMIR project developed flash flood forecast products by focussing on the following:

  • Probabilistic forecast products which reflect information from ensemble forecasts
  • Translating flash flood hazard information into impacts

Probabilistic forecast information was obtained by blending information from 1) ensemble nowcasts of precipitation obtained from the pan-European OPERA radar network, 2) ensemble precipitation forecasts from the ECMWF medium range numerical weather prediction model. The blending is performed each hour when new radar information is available and using the latest available ECMWF forecasts. A flash flood impact product was developed by combining probabilistic forecasts of flash flood hazard (which were developed in the forerunner SMUFF project) with a static dataset of exposure. The exposure dataset was created from open access pan-European data of population and critical infrastructure. More information about these products is given in pages related to each TAMIR layer.

Throughout the project there was frequent engagement with end users from civil protection and hydrometeorological agencies to discuss the development of the forecast products. This engagement took the form of workshops, the final project workshop was held in Helsinki, Finland in May 2022.

The final products which were developed during the project have now been integrated into the EFAS platform. This supports pro-active emergency management at different scales, and by integrating them into the EFAS operational platform, allows for effective integration into existing Civil Protection systems.

For more information about the TAMIR project please consult the project website (due to the completion of the project, this website may expire at some point within the year following September 2022)

EDERA





Early warning Demonstration of pan-European rainfall-induced impact forecasts (EDERA)

EDERA is a 2-year European Commission Civil Protection Preparedness project focused on developing or improving products for flood impact forecasting in the operational Early Warning System platforms and decision-making protocols of Civil Protection Authorities at European scale.


The context

Heavy rain and convective storms trigger a number of different natural hazards (floods, landslides, debris flows…) that have impacts on people’s life and goods throughout Europe and across borders. Although the policies for emergency management and response are turning to a more adapted risk management approach, Civil Protection agencies still face multiple challenges hampering their active decisions, including absence of multi-hazard forecasts or difficulty in translating hazards forecasts in impact-based decisions, or the coordination between emergency management authorities during extreme and/or large-scale events affecting multiple regions and countries.

In this context, integrating advanced multi-hazard impact-based forecasts in the currently existing Early Warning Systems (capitalising on the advances in hazard observation and forecasts and vulnerability and exposure datasets) is key for improved emergency management leading to disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation.


An improved strategy

EDERA inherits the results from previous UCPM (Union Civil Protection Mechanism) projects  ERICHA (Integrating a European Rainfall-Induced Hazard Assessment system), SMUFF (Seamless probabilistic multi-source forecasting of heavy rainfall hazards for European flood awareness), and TAMIR (Advanced Tools for pro-Active Management of Impacts and Risks Induced by Convective Weather, Heavy Rain and Flash floods in Europe) for seamless forecasting of heavy rainfall and flash flood impacts.

The project aims to use the river flood forecasting component from the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) to propose an improved strategy for compound flood impact forecasts over Europe, combining convective hazards and pluvial floods and river floods.


A real-time demonstration period

EDERA will demonstrate the application of flood impact forecasts in real-time during 15 months and will evaluate its performance at two levels.

  1. At European scale, evaluating the performance of the impact forecasts in cooperation with the stakeholders of the project (with this aim, the products will be further integrated in EFAS), and
  2. In two pilot sites (Spain-Portugal and Finland+), where the Early Warning Systems of the operational end-users (involved in the project as partners and stakeholders) will be improved integrating the developed EDERA flood impact forecasts in real-time to assess their usefulness for improved cross-border cooperation and coordination among the relevant authorities (at national and regional scales). The integration of these impact forecasts in the EFAS, which provides direct support to the DG-ECHO ERCC will ensure their availability beyond the duration of the project.


Partners

EDERA is a project coordinated by the Center of Applied Research in Hydrometeorology of the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya-BarcelonaTech (CRAHI-UPC). The consortium is composed by 6 organisations belonging to 3 European countries including research, development and service-provider organisations, and operational end-users.

The project beneficiaries are the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya-BarcelonaTech (UPC, Spain), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI, Finland), the Ministerio del Interior (ESMIR, Spain), and the Autoridade Nacional de Emergencia e Proteçao Civil (ANEPC, Portugal).

Additionally, it counts with the direct participation of 3 end-users as partners of the consortium: ANEPC and DGPCE (national CPAs of Portugal and Spain and members of the EU Civil Protection Mechanism, UCPM), and AMAYA (with responsibilities in flood emergency management in the region of Andalusia, Spain).

For more information about the EDERA project please consult the project website.



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