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The climate projections are taken from the EURO-CORDEX ensemble of regional climate models (downloaded from ESGF, but now potentially available in the CDS-entry: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/datasetdatasets/projections-cordex-domains-single-levels?tab=overview). The ensemble consists of three different global climate models (GCM), where one of them (MPI-ESM-LR) comes with two different realizations (marked by the RIP-Realisation- Initialization-Physics code), as presented in Table 2. Different realisations of the same model essentially mean that the GCM scenarios are starting from a different Earth system state such that the natural climate oscillations affect the model at short to multi-decadal time scales throughout the simulation. A set of four different RCMs have downscaled the GCM simulations to the EURO- CORDEX 0.11-degree grid (about 12.5 km), and here we use outputs of daily precipitation and daily mean temperature (2m height). When selecting models from the download form, it is recommended to include all GCMs and all RCMs to sample uncertainty related to model definitions. Further, the two realisations of MPI-ESM-LR with REMO2009 can be used to estimate the influence of natural variability on the projection results.
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