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The plots below show 48-hour precipitation in AIFS0-ENS member 1 with different lead times.

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3.3 ENS

 The plots below shows EFI for 3-day precipitation (17-19 September).

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The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 48-hour precipitation for Vienna (split in two figures to fit all forecast types). 

Observation - green hourglass
Analysis - green dot
ENS control–red
ENS - blue box-and-whisker
AIFS - cyan dot
Desint4.4km - evergreen dot
AIFS-ENS - grey box-and-whiske

Model climate – cyan box-and-whisker 

Ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1800 forecasts.

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3.4 Monthly forecasts

 

3.5 Comparison with other centres

 

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

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