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As you know the extended forecast products are updated twice a week (Tuesday & Fridays). Now check the latest products (based on the forecast started on 00Z 10th of October).
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Identify whether or not an MJO is present in the forecasts issued on the 6th and 10th October.
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Top: MJO index. A brief description how to read the diagram can be found here.
Finally assess any weather impact related (or not) with any tropical cyclone activity looking at the anomaly and probability (anomaly ≥ 66% M Climate) maps
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Top Panels: Weakly mean anomalies for precipitation based on the forecasts initiated on 00Z 6th October (left) and 00Z 10th (right) valid for for 17-23 October. Bottom Panels: Same but for the probability of anomaly above the upper tercile.
Verification (to show later ...)
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